Quick Brief:
Robots can already do about 75% of physical job tasks in the US (34% of work hours), but are rarely cheaper than humans. Adding LLMs, roughly 80% of work is technologically exposed, though real adoption will be gradual.
Why It Matters:
Physical jobs—not just desk jobs—face rising automation risk. Impacts will fall hardest on already vulnerable, lower-wage workers. High costs make a rapid robot-driven employment shock unlikely in the near term.